Prof. dr hab. Witold Cieślikiewicz

Dr Aleksandra Dudkowska

The accuracy of some meteorological parameters modeling for the southern Baltic Sea area – a comparative study

As part of PROZA project at the Institute of Oceanography, University of Gdańsk, work is being carried out on launching an integrated wave-current model for the Baltic Sea region. Wave WAM and current POM models used for this pur-pose, are supplied with data from numerical weather forecasts from the Coupled Ocean/Atmosphere Mesoscale Prediction System (COAMPS) model operating at ICM. The accuracy of forecasts of meteorological parameters directly impacts the forecasts of wind wave and sea current fields. The accuracy of results of short term weather forecasts generated by COAMPS and Unified Model (UMPL) operating at ICM, was assessed for two locations on the coast of Baltic Sea in Poland. For the two studied locations (Łeba and Hel), air temperature is forecasted with highest accuracy (r>90%), and wind direction and velocity forecasts are characterized by lower accuracy (r<85%)     ...

Dr Bogumił Jakubiak

Prof. dr hab. Witold Cieślikiewicz

Mgr Leszek Herman-Iżycki

Dr Paweł Lech

Dr Witold Rudnicki

Doc. dr hab. Waldemar Treder

Project "Operational decision-making based on atmospheric conditions" (PROZA) started in September 2009 is created by the consortium of four partners: Interdisciplinary Centre for Mathematical and Computer Modeling (ICM), University of Warsaw, Research Institute of Pomology and Floriculture, Research Institute of Forestry, and Institute of Oceanography, University of Gdansk (IOUG). The project has been developed in a response to actual demands from economic entities. Increasing need to improve regional and local weather forecasts is based on a significant impact of a weather on many areas of the human activity. The systematic increase of the quality of forecasts based on the concentrated research in the field of numerical weather prediction gives the possibility to improve the usability and practical application of results in various fields of economy and social life. Topics implemented under the project relate both to the development of operational numerical weather prediction system and develop a range of applications for selected areas of the economy: energy, forestry, horticulture and marine management. ...