Mgr inż. Katarzyna Baran-Gurgul

A comparison of hydrological drought characteristics defined by the pot and SPA methods in the Dunajec river basin

This paper addresses the problem of how drought definition by POT and SPA methods influences drought characteristics. Using the 1984-2013 daily flows at 24 selected gauging stations in the Dunajec river basin and assuming two threshold levels Q70% and Q95% and four minimum drought durations (5, 7, 10 and 14 days) as the pre-set criteria, it was shown that, when compared to the POT method, the application of the SPA method usually leads to less number of droughts and, consequently, of longer duration. The SPA method, differently from POT, reduces dramatically the number of inter-event times, which suggests that some adjacent POT droughts may be dependent and should be pooled. ...

Prof. dr hab. Stanisław Węglarczyk

Mgr inż. Katarzyna Baran-Gurgul

Drought definition criteria and their influence on the drought characteristics.2. One-dimensional probability distributions

For adopted 12 drought definitions and basing on 49-year time series of daily flows at four cross-sections in the Mała Wisła catchment, it was found that the probability distributions of drought duration T and drought deficit V may be described by the lognormal distribution with parameters estimated by the maximum likelihood method. The goodness-of-fit quality was tested by the Anderson-Darling and Cramér-von Mises tests. Both test did not reject the tested distribution neither for any definition nor any cross-section, as the p-values were greater than 15% for the former test and greater than 20% for the latter. ...

Prof. dr hab. Stanisław Węglarczyk

Mgr inż. Katarzyna Baran-Gurgul

Drought definition criteria and their influence on the drought characteristics. 3. Joint probabilisty distribution of drought duration and deficit

For adopted 12 drought definitions and basing on 49-year time series of daily flows at four cross-sections in the Mała Wisła catchment, it was found that the probability distributions of drought duration T and drought deficit V may be described by the two-dimensional lognormal distribution with parameters estimated by the maximum likelihood method. The goodness-of-fit quality was tested by the Anderson-Darling and Cramér-von Mises tests. Both test did not reject the tested distributions neither for any definition nor any cross-section: all of the p-values were greater than 20%. ...